A recent article in the Dallas Morning News states that we just don’t have anything to worry about going forward regarding a “double dip” recession. A double dip recession is one where you go through one recession, the recession concludes, and then it comes back again. Of course, that would mean that the stock market [...]
Posts Tagged ‘bear market’
Unprecedented Times Create Unprecedented Events
Posted in Price Levels, Stock Market, tagged bear market, Bob Brooks, bullish, cycles, Dallas Morning News, Deceptive Money, foreclosure crisis, Great Depression, Price Levels, Prudent Money, recession, S&P 500, Stock Market on September 15, 2009 | 2 Comments »
The Main Question Might Be Getting Answered
Posted in Stock Market, Unemployment, tagged bear market, Bear Market Rally, Bob Brooks, bull market, Deceptive Money, Department of Labor, Elliot Wave Theory, Government, investors, Obama, Prudent Money, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Stock Market, Unemployment, unemployment report on September 8, 2009 | 2 Comments »
Back in March of this year when the stock market found a bottom, I posed a question that I felt would be “the” question for investors. Is this a bear market rally or is this the beginning of a bull market?
I have felt all along that this is nothing more than a bear market rally. [...]
Deceptively Great Stock Market
Posted in Stock Market, tagged bear market, Ben Bernanke, Bob Brooks, Consumer Confidence, credit problems, Deceptive Money, Housing Market, Obama stimulus package, Prudent Money, Risk, Stock Market on August 24, 2009 | 4 Comments »
What motivates the stock market to go up? Well, lately it doesn’t take anything of real substance. A great consumer confidence number could be the reason (even though the consumer confidence report gets the consensus of only 5,000 households), a reduction in the loss of jobs for a month(even though the Government accounting method greatly distorts [...]
The Bear Market has to be over…Right?
Posted in Stock Market, tagged bear market, Bob Brooks, credit/debt crisis, crisis, Dallas Morning News, Deceptive Money, financial crisis, Prudent Money, recession, S&P 500, stock market rally, stocks, Unemployment, Wall Street on July 27, 2009 | 3 Comments »
Those of you who have been reading my analysis are probably wondering when I am going to throw in the towel and just admit that the bear market is over and start talking about buying stocks again. Well, I hate to disappoint you. It is not going to happen yet. Let’s take a much bigger [...]
Markets on Shaky Ground
Posted in Stock Market, tagged recession, Bob Brooks, Prudent Money, bear market, Deceptive Money, stock market rally, Wall Street, John Mauldin, economy, deflation, WWII, S&P, Consumer Price Index, inflation, Federal Reserve Board Meeting, Treasury on June 22, 2009 | 2 Comments »
Wall Street (which drives me crazy) calls even the smallest bit of good news “green shoots.” The analogy is that grass starts to grow in the form of a “green shoot.” Well, I have many “green shoots” in my yard right now. Unfortunately, these green shoots are weeds more than anything. John Mauldin made a [...]
The One Main Reason Why This Bear Market In Stocks Is Not Over
Posted in Stock Market, tagged adjustable rate, bear market, Bob Brooks, Deceptive Money, foreclosure crisis, interest, investments, loans, mortgage companies, principle, Prudent Money, refinance, Risk, stock-based mutual funds, stocks on June 15, 2009 | 4 Comments »
As an investment manager, I am constantly looking into the future and evaluating indicators to determine which investments make the most sense. Since originally warning of the risk in stocks back in 2007, my indicators have not given any signs that the risk for being in the stock market has changed. As long as the [...]
Corporate Insiders Are Very Bearish
Posted in Stock Market, tagged bear market, Bob Brooks, Deceptive Money, economists, economy, Government, government bond market, interest rates, Price Levels, Prudent Money, S&P 500, stock, Stock Market, Unemployment, Wall Street, www.financialarmageddon.com on June 8, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
Forget about what the Government, Wall Street, or the economists say about the probabilities for the stock market and the economy. Instead, look at what the people in the day to day trenches are doing with their money. A key indicator is the actions of the corporate insiders and whether they are buying or selling [...]
A Few Thoughts on a Monday
Posted in Stock Market, tagged bear market, Bear Market Rally, Bob brookd, bull market, Deceptive Money, economic reports, Investing, Price Levels, Prudent Money, road markers, S&P 500, Stock Market, stock market alert on May 18, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
Since we changed the daily stock market outlook to a stock market alert format, there really hasn’t been much to “alert” you about concerning the markets. So, I thought I would just start off this Monday with a quick update. This should be a relatively quiet week with very little breaking economic reports being released. [...]
When Reality Sinks In – Illusive Confidence Snaps
Posted in Consumer Confidence, tagged bear market, Bear Market Rally, Bob Brooks, Deceptive Money, foreclosure, Obama, President Obama, Prudent Money, S&P 500, Wall Street on May 13, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
Today offers us a good example of what happens when the illusion of confidence is broken. Let’s start with the headlines this morning:
Stocks Sink as Retail Sales Slide
You mean to tell me that people aren’t buying things? I am shocked!! I thought that everything was recovering and OK.
Then there was this headline - U.S. Foreclosure Filings [...]
Hardly Stressing
Posted in Stress Testing, tagged Stock Market, Bob Brooks, Prudent Money, S&P 500, Bear Market Rally, bear market, Deceptive Money, stock market rally, Prudent Money Blog, Unemployment, Risk, Obama Administration, Government, stress test, unemployment numbers, banking stocks, Alan Abelson on May 11, 2009 | 1 Comment »
Well, the results of the stress tests were revealed this past week. It turned out to be much ado about nothing. In fact, most of the banking stocks went up on the news. It does leave the question as to what the Obama Administration is really trying to accomplish through a process that didn’t make much [...]
Big Stock Market Moves Often End Badly
Posted in Stock Market, tagged 1929 bear market, bail-out money, Bank of America, banking stress test, bear market, Bob Brooks, capital, Deceptive Money, Government, Prudent Money, S&P 500, Stock Market, unemployment report, volatility on May 7, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
The faster they go up…the harder they fall. The price of oil was a good example of this last year. The price of oil took off last year and fell just as hard. When markets move quickly in either direction, the corresponding move can be intense. So, it should be no surprise that we have [...]
Everything is not Always What it Seems!
Posted in Stock Market, tagged bear market, Bear Market Rally, Bob Brooks, Bryan Rogers, bull market, Deceptive Money, Government, Market, market decline, Prudeny Money, stress test, Wall Street on May 5, 2009 | 2 Comments »
Hello, my name is Bob Brooks, and I am a gloom and doomer.
Well, sometimes I feel like I need to go to a 12 step group. While everyone is popping the champagne bottles on Wall Street and the market puts in yet another strong day, I still stick to my guns about what is occurring. [...]
Conflicting Data
Posted in Stock Market, tagged President Obama, Stock Market, Bob Brooks, Prudent Money, Bear Market Rally, bear market, Deceptive Money, stock market rally, Swine Flu, bull market, stocks, stock mutual funds, pandemic, Government on April 30, 2009 | 2 Comments »
Well, yesterday continues a strong performance for the stock market. Remember we are still focusing on one question. Was the low in the stock market in March the bottom of the bear market and the start of a new bull market or was the stock market rally that started in March nothing more than a [...]
Reasons Why the Bear Market is not Over: Part I
Posted in Stock Market, tagged bear market, Bob Brooks, continuing bear market, Deceptive Money, financial crisis, Great Depression, Prudent Money, Risk, Stock Market, Swine Flu, The Government, Unemployment on April 28, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
The bottom line: As long as the ranks of the unemployed continue to increase, the damage to the economy will worsen. As a result, risk for a continuing bear market remains high.
Yesterday, I wrote about a discussion that I had with a friend of mine that manages money.
My friend completely disagrees with me regarding my cautious [...]
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